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Thursday, July 25, 2013

Bilibala Finance update 13/07/25

Recent transactions
1. buy Apple Inc (AAPL) at US$422.3 before result released
Just as what I said few days ago, I invested in Apple Inc three hours before result releasing,  because I believe price will go up because it worth more than  what the analysts' initial expected.

Although Apple's gross margin dropped significantly to 35% - 37% range, from what's great to about ok compare to peers. It should still worth more than US$490.

I remember few years ago,  Blackberry's margin dropped from 45% to 35% and now turn into losses. If similar pattern happened to Apple, then it will worth less than US$200. However, I haven't seen this reduction trend yet.
In Blackberry's case, its market shares & margin loss to i-phone & android. Now, the crisis may not happen because I have not seen a new product that can replace Apple yet.

2. sell China Communication Construction (1800) at HK$6.10
I made 14% profit, decide not to keep and wait till August.

Guesstimation
I still believe Walt Disney will fall after earning relase. Set price to buy at US$59.5.

Top Holding of Bilibala Finance
1. China Mobile (CHL) since 05 btw HK$36 - 76
2. Google Inc (GOOG) since 09 btw US$287 - 601
3. China Life (LFC) since 03 btw HK$3.6 - 22.5 4. Manulife Financial (MFC) since 09 btw CA$9.7 - 19.5
5. Tiffany & Co (TIF) since 10 btw US$46 - 55
6. Wells Fargo (WFC) since 08 btw US$12.5 - 25 7. China Consturction Bank (0939) since 05 btw HK$2.4 - 5.35
8. General Electric (GE) since 08 btw US$9.5 - 22.3
9. Starbucks Corporation (SBUK) since 10 btw US$31 - 46.5
10. Suncor Energy (SU) since 11 btw CA$29 - 33.5 11. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) since 09 US$29 - 45
12. Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) since 11 btw US$63 - 68

My transaction may be misleading, but top holdings include the best corporations Bilibala invested for years with more proof record to increase in value for long run.

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